~ Fred Hickey, The High-Tech Strategist, April 3, 2023
Nov 29, 2023
Fred Hickey on troubles in commercial real estate
As we all know by now, March brought a new banking crisis, as many banks have huge losses lurking on their balance sheets... Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank and Credit Suisse all collapsed, and depositors were rescued using various means in order to forestall panic... These regional banks also have huge exposure to the reeling commercial real estate (CRE) market, where vacancies are already nearing 2009 recession levels thanks to overbuilding and the remote work trend - even before a recession hits. An estimated $1.5 trillion in CRE debt comes due over the next three years. It's not just banks that are in trouble. Insurance companies and pension funds have experienced large portfolio losses and some will have trouble meeting obligations.
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