IN THE 1970S, high inflation wasn't just imagined -- it was very real. Today, however, those clamoring for rate hikes seek to head off potential threats -- of higher inflation, asset bubbles, and the like -- and ensure that U.S. growth continues to accelerate. In fact, inflation expectations in the U.S. have been falling recently, not rising. The risk becomes that the U.S. ends up repeating the '70s in reverse. Remember, in that decade, rates weren't hiked enough, causing inflation to reignite quickly, which never solved anything. Today, tighter policy could mean the economy never reaches escape velocity, instead remaining mired at 2% growth. And that's a mistake we don't want to make.
~ Ben Levisohn, "The '70s in Reverse," Barron's, September 15, 2014
Showing posts with label Fed exit strategy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Fed exit strategy. Show all posts
Sep 13, 2014
Jun 23, 2013
Alan Greenspan on the Fed's exit strategy
The sooner we come to grips with this excessive level of assets on the balance sheet of the Federal Reserve - that everybody agrees is excessive - the better. There is a general presumption that we can wait indefinitely and make judgments on when we're going to move. I'm not sure the market will allow us to do that.
~ Alan Greenspan, as appeared on CNBC, June 7, 2013
~ Alan Greenspan, as appeared on CNBC, June 7, 2013
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