Showing posts with label compulsive gambling. Show all posts
Showing posts with label compulsive gambling. Show all posts

Feb 23, 2021

Kevin Duffy explains the casino effect

1/ Bubbles go parabolic - that's what they do. At the end, the average Joe gets an invitation, the crowd is unleashed (higher prices attract more buying), and risk amps up. The gambling analogy is apropos: the financial markets have been turned into a casino. 

2/ Casinos attract gamblers and worse, compulsive gamblers. Compulsive gambling is a progressive disease: the gambler is addicted and will increase his recklessness until he is wiped out. The speculator has progressed from Apple to Tesla, and now to GameStop. 

3/ He has gone from bidding up a real company (Apple) to absurd heights to a profitless dream (Tesla), making Elon Musk the richest man in the world, to wildly speculating in companies like GameStop and AMC in clear decline. 

4/ The casino is now packed. There is no one left to suck into the game. Those inside are trapped. They've been winning so long, they can't leave. They're hooked. You'll have to take them out in bodybags. 

5/ As tables start to lose, the gamblers will simply move to the remaining winning tables. This is why you'll see wild rotation at the top - speculators looking to gamble on any stock going up. 

6/ Eventually all of the tables are losers. The fate of the speculators is sealed. 

Btw, this compulsive gambler analogy also applies to central bankers. They're all-in on the Great Monetary Experiment since 1971. They'll never cry 'uncle,' and will be taken out in bodybags.

~ Kevin Duffy, tweet, February 23, 2021



Feb 1, 2021

Kevin Duffy on compulsive gambling and the everything bubble

Compulsive gambling is a progressive disease.  The parabolic pattern of a bubble mirrors the willingness to take on risk.  Last week, former darlings like Amazon and Tesla sold off as they lack the sheer adrenaline rush of pumping up the stocks of dying companies and taking down billion dollar hedge funds.  (We witnessed a similar phenomenon in 2000 when “Old Economy” stalwarts were dumped for dot-com lottery tickets.)   Lately, speculators have gone from picking up quarters in front of a steamroller to dodging Ferraris for pennies.

~ Kevin Duffy, "Game Over," LewRockwell.com, February 1, 2021



Mar 23, 2020

Kevin Duffy on QE to infiinity

Central bankers are the compulsive gamblers of our times.  They had already bet the house and kids. Now they’re betting the afterlife.  They have no clue they’re holding the losing hand...

~ Kevin Duffy, March 23, 2020

Image result for to infinity and beyond