If you look closely at some of the factors and events surrounding this market action, it's fairly clear in my view that is has all of the hallmarks of a classic stock market correction:
• Sudden, scary declines in equity prices
• No material changes to economic fundamentals, which we believe remain very
strong globally
• Analysts and pundits reaching for 'causes' of the market correction, with
what seems to be no clear answers
• Media abuzz with commentary over whether this could be a major downturn
• Investors shifting focus to day-to-day price fluctuations instead of focusing
on long-term objectives
What's more, if one were to review the "causes" given for the market
correction, you would likely find are old, recycled fears and stories that may
be too marginal to matter, in my view. So far, we've heard the correction was
caused by rising inflation concerns, worries about concurrent rising interest
rates and rising stock prices, fears about global central bank tightening,
anxiety over the possibility of trade wars, and even the product of an obscure
ETF that bets on the inverse of the VIX. The ETF, ticker XIV, fell some 85% and
Credit Suisse is reportedly ending trading for it later this month.
We believe that the root cause of the correction could be any one of those
events or none of them. Market corrections do not come with playbooks or
detailed explanations, and they are very difficult to be timed.
My advice: ignore it
all.
~ Mitch Zacks, Zacks Investment Management, February 22, 2018
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment