Finally
my observation on this market sell-off today. This may sound strange. As an optimist I was happy the market stayed down and did not
rally from the lows into
the close. Why do I say that? Well, this market has been trading up
in a straight line pretty
much since November
of 2012. In fact today and yesterday
was the worst two-day
drop since November. And still the S&P 500 and
the Dow are up in the double
digits year-to-date. This may be the
moment market pros have been waiting for,
an opportunity to actually get in
at better levels, lower levels. So my
point is seeing a pull-back is exactly what you would want from a healthy market.
The question of course has to be has anything really changed? And in some cases it has. Interest rates have begun to
move up. The conversation on Wall Street
has begun to shift, to not if,
but when the Federal
Reserve will slow down the
stimulus by cutting the amounts of bonds it buys. And even amid the rally there remain a
healthy level of skepticism - some 30% of accounts
are sitting in cash. (You just heard that from [UBS Group CEO] Sergio Ermotti.) At
some point that money will come back into the market and go to work. And that point could be here in this
pull-back. Because any clear-thinking
investor knows, nothing goes
up in a straight
line.
Many traders I spoke with today told me
they are hoping for
further selling tomorrow
because they want to see a
clean sweep. They want to truly believe that there is value to be had by getting in for the long-term at
lower prices. And if we are down tomorrow, it
would be the first
three-day losing streak
for the Dow this year. First
three-day losing streak this
year. That's incredible, and not
normal. There may be
more selling to come. In fact, it
would probably be healthy if there
was. But long-term, most
people do believe it will
once again be a buying opportunity.
~ Maria Bartiromo, "Maria's Observation," CNBC, June 5, 2013
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