I know that many investors like to talk about their competitive advantages, but I’ve come to realize that I really don’t have any great advantages on the research side. So much of my process is simply trusting
my gut. If I’m curious about something, it has a funny way of working, and when I become bored with
something, it has a funny way of falling apart. I frequently have visceral views of things, and an uncanny
inability to sleep when some position needs to be disposed of.
Competing investors, focused on harvesting real-time data for almost imperceptible competitive
advantages have unlimited resources at their disposal, and we are always going to lose the informational
arms race against them. Where we can win is through investing discipline, knowledge of prior cycles, and
most importantly, by harvesting the foibles of others who fixate on the immediate, while ignoring that
investing is a process—what happens a year or two from today, should get discounted today, yet rarely
does, as investors increasingly truncate their timeframe.
~ Harris Kupperman, Praetorian Capital 2025 Q2 Investor Letter, August 7, 2025