If you look around a range of commodities over the last two decades; pick one: oil, coal, copper, nickel, even the ones that are down substantially in the last 18 months like lithium. We are clearly in a bull cycle. And the reasons for that are really simple: There are eight billion of us on the planet; every day there's more. For 40 years we've done a great job lifting the poorest of the poor worldwide - 1.5 billion people - out of dire poverty, making them merely poor, as opposed to extremely poor. Is there a lot more to be done? Absolutely! But we've done a great job. The consequence of that, Lucijan, is that when poor people get more money, which has happened on a wonderful scale for 40 years - the stuff they want to buy is made of stuff. When you and I get more money we buy some little gadget from Apple or we buy a service. But when poor people get more money they replace a thatched roof with a metal roof, they replace mud waddle with concrete, they go from barefoot to shoes to bicycles to 55cc motorcycles to a Toyota Hylux. And this is going on around the world.
Is the bull market going to continue? Of course! There's a billion people with no access to primary electricity... a billion! There's another 2 billion people on earth with access to either intermittent or unaffordable power. And the same can be said for calorie counts. The same can be said for the whole range of the material standards of living. Meanwhile, you want to live better, too. You want your children to live better than you do. All of this requires stuff.
~ Rick Rule,
interview with Lucijan Valkovic, 5:10 mark, March 28, 2024
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