Rick Rule on natural resource investing

In terms of natural resource investing, you're either going to be a contrarian or you are going to be a victim.  There isn't much by way of middle ground.  Everybody wants to invest in commodities where the price action has already justified the narrative, but the price action takes the value-added out of the narrative.  You have to look for commodities that are in liquidation, where the price is so low that the industry is liquidating and where if the price of the commodity doesn't increase, the commodity will become unavailable to humankind.  And finally, humankind needs to need that commodity.

Another way to put that phrase, in terms of the time value of money, is that you need to invest in things that are inevitable, even if they aren't eminent.  And you have to need to know the difference between those two words.

~ Rick Rule, interview with Dan Ferris and McLaughlin, Stansberry Investor Hour, 60:30 mark, March 4, 2024