I think we are actually at a point of encouraging risk-taking, and that should give us pause.
~ Jerome Powell, October 2012 FOMC meeting
Apr 27, 2019
Apr 20, 2019
Deutsche Bank economist Torsten Sløk on the Goldilocks economy
Boring is good, because boring means no uncertainties that are unmanageable. This backdrop of no recession and stable growth and low inflation and low rates is bullish for risky assets, in particular equities.
~ Torsten Sløk, chief economist, Deutsche Bank, April 18, 2019
(Sløk was quoted in the April 20, 2019 issue of Barron's by Ben Levisohn in "The Trader" column.)
~ Torsten Sløk, chief economist, Deutsche Bank, April 18, 2019
(Sløk was quoted in the April 20, 2019 issue of Barron's by Ben Levisohn in "The Trader" column.)
Labels:
Deutsche Bank,
economists,
Goldilocks economy
Jamie Dimon on the business expansion: "no law that it has to stop" (2019)
Do you have to have a recession?... The consumer's in good shape, the balance sheet's in good shape, people are going back to the workforce, companies have plenty of capital... business confidence and consumer confidence are both high... So it could easily go on for years. There's no law that says it has to stop.
~ Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase Q1 conference call, April 12, 2019
~ Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase Q1 conference call, April 12, 2019
Apr 9, 2019
Max Stirner on the difference between crime and the law
The State calls its own violence law, but that of the individual crime.
~ Max Stirner, The Ego and His Own [1845]
~ Max Stirner, The Ego and His Own [1845]
Apr 7, 2019
Ruchir Sharma compares U.S. global market cap to Japan's in the late 1980s
The U.S. today is about 55% of the global market cap, and its share of the global economy is 25%. The last time such a large gap existed was in the late 1980s, when the Japanese market was 45% of the global market cap and Japan's economy was about 15% of the world total.
~ Ruchir Sharma, Chief Global Strategist, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, "Global View, Local Stocks," Barron's, April 8, 2019
~ Ruchir Sharma, Chief Global Strategist, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, "Global View, Local Stocks," Barron's, April 8, 2019
Labels:
everything bubble,
global market cap,
Japan bubble,
valuations
Apr 6, 2019
JPMorgan strategist on the business cycle "no longer even relevant" (2019)
We are all used to using the word ‘cycle’; we’re all used to looking at historical charts and graphs and equations and relationships. The reality is that maybe the word ‘cycle’ is no longer
even relevant, given that we have so much unconventional central-bank involvement.
~ Dubravko Lakos-Bujas, J.P. Morgan chief U.S. equity strategist, “There’s No Expiration Date on This Bull Market,” Barron’s, April 8, 2019
~ Dubravko Lakos-Bujas, J.P. Morgan chief U.S. equity strategist, “There’s No Expiration Date on This Bull Market,” Barron’s, April 8, 2019
Apr 2, 2019
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