Earnings are at a very high cyclical level. And if we do anything to damage that, you risk a 20% to
30% correction in the market if this [government shutdown] goes on for a month or longer,
All the U.S. obligations are money good. [The Treasury Department could continue to] move stuff around [to temporarily avoid hitting the limit.]
We really don’t care about any of the stuff that’s
going on in D.C. Our view is as long as this is resolved in a
week or three, it’ll be okay. [Late into the third week of a shutdown, the firm would look at hedges and lightening up.]
~ Barry Ritholtz, "A one-month shutdown risks triggering 20% to 30% correction: Barry Ritholtz," The Tell blog (MarketWatch), October 7, 2013
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