Jul 31, 2022

Eileen Gu answers her critics about competing for China

Q: Did you feel like you needed to have a thick skin for what came at you after [your decision to compete in the Olympics for China]?

A: Absolutely.  People always have their own opinions, but for me what I try to stick to is... there's no wrong or right; there's only intention.  And I'm trying to make the world a better place in my own way.  And if people disagree with that, that's ok.  And I just encourage them to make the world better in their way, right?  We can approach this situation from different standpoints.  So... to each their own.

~ Eileen Gu, USA Today interview, 3:50 mark, May 4, 2022



Jul 29, 2022

Kevin Duffy on the complex game of investing

This is not an easy game and it's very easy to get tricked... Sometimes we can get fooled by being right... You always have to be humble and think, 'What am I missing?' If it seems too easy then it probably is because this is a very complex game we're playing.

~ Kevin Duffy, interview with Jason Burack, 1:12:40 mark, July 28, 2022



Jul 28, 2022

Dr. Keith Smith: "Big medicine is in big trouble"

As an eternal optimist, I would say that big medicine is in big trouble.  The system is dysfunctional, but people are waking up.  There are alternatives out there that are free market, and people are becoming aware that they exist, that they work.  With this awareness, it becomes real tough for the big monsters—that is, the cartel that controls the strings with their pal, Uncle Sam—to continue driving the getaway car in this heist.

~ G. Keith Smith, MD, co-founder of Surgery Center of Oklahoma, "The Free Market Medical Revolution," The Austrian, July-August 2022



Friedrich Nietzsche: "There are two different types of people in the world"

There are two different types of people in the world, those who want to know, and those who want to believe.

 ~ Friedrich Nietzsche



Jul 26, 2022

Gary Mishuris on humility and investing

I think that you want to be humble in this business...  Base your approach on humility and then work really hard from the position that you can be wrong a lot and build that being wrong into everything: into security selection, into portfolio construction, into how you build the structure of your firm, into which clients you choose or not choose to partner with.  So humble but confident.  Humility is not the opposite of confidence.  I think you can be humble and confident at the same time.

~ Gary Mishuris, interview with Dan Ferris, Stansberry Investor Hour, 45:00 mark, July 25, 2022



Charlie Munger on work ethic

The only way to win is to work, work, work, work, and hope to have a few insights.

~ Charlie Munger





Jul 24, 2022

Jeff Polet on the value of comedians mocking power

One good comedian is more valuable to society than a hundred public intellectuals because nothing exposes power as a joke at its expense … for the tyrant can endure anything except being laughed at.

~ Jeff Polet, professor of political science at Hope College in Michigan



Randall Forsyth on stimulus checks going into the stock market

While institutions reshuffle portfolios, it will be interesting to see what individuals do with their $1,400 stimulus payments.  Some $242 billion was deposited into Americans’ bank accounts on Wednesday, the biggest “helicopter drop” to date, write Jefferies economists in a research note.  At the same time, Bank of America strategists point out, a “staggering” record $68.3 billion flowed into equity funds in the past week.  It seems that at least some of the stimulus may be going for speculation, rather than spending. 

~ Randall Forsyth, "Bond Vigilantes' Return Won't Cause Another Black Monday," Barron's, March 20, 2021



Jul 22, 2022

Phil Duffy on Adam Smith vs. Richard Cantillon

[Adam] Smith’s Wealth of Nations had the advantage of a half century more of observation over Cantillon’s Essay, and yet it was the latter’s insights into the agricultural revolution and the guiding role of the entrepreneur in achieving economic progress that separated the two economists. It is high time Richard Cantillon and the British Agricultural Revolution got their due respect.

~ Phil Duffy, "The British Agricultural Revolution Gets No Respect," Mises Wire, July 22, 2022



John Lubbock on worrying

A day of worry is more exhausting than a week of work. 

~ John Lubbock, English banker, classical liberal politician, philanthropist, scientist and polymath, 1834-1913



Jul 20, 2022

Andrew Wiggins on getting vaccinated

I still wish I didn't get it, to be honest with you...  I did it, and I was an All-Star this year and champion, so that was the good part, just not missing out on the year, the best year of my career.  But for my body, I just don't like putting all that stuff in my body, so I didn't like that and I didn't like that it wasn't my choice.  I didn't like that it was either get this or don't play.




Kevin Duffy on bubbles and anti-bubbles

Q: And what is the conclusion of fifty years marked by excesses and manias? 

A: The most important lesson is that bubbles spawn anti-bubbles.  These are places to hide and plant seeds for the next bull market.  Let’s take the Japan bubble in the late 1980s.  It was fueled by the idea of the visionary bureaucrat: a partnership between business and government.  This was called "industrial policy" and perceived as an improvement over the free market system.  The anti-bubble was the more laissez faire American model, essentially Silicon Valley.  The conventional wisdom was that America lacked competitiveness and its technology sector could not compete without government help.  At that time, we actually invested in Dell, then named Dell Computer, trading for 10-12 times earnings.  Michael Dell started the company in his dorm room and dropped out of college as business took off.  It was one of our largest holdings and turned out quite well. 

Q: So Dell was an investment in the anti-bubble? 

A: Exactly.  If you can identify this pattern, you will constantly be avoiding risk (the bubble) and chasing opportunity (the anti-bubble).  You may not experience all the excitement of the speculative blow-offs, but you’ll certainly achieve above-average returns over time.

~ Kevin Duffy, interview with Christoph Gisiger: "We're Dealing With a Very Different Animal," The Market NZZ, July 18, 2022




Milton Friedman on the drug war

See, if you look at the drug war from a purely economic point of view, the role of the government is to protect the drug cartel.  That's literally true.

~ Milton Friedman



Jul 14, 2022

Henry Ellenbogen on migration trends and location independence

As a result of the pandemic, there has been a significant change in how and where Americans want to work.  I discussed this at last year’s Roundtable, and the past year has confirmed it: We are on the move in ways we haven’t been in many years.  People largely are moving to the Southern and mountain states, and Florida and Texas. 

We are monetizing the scale of America.  As we move from high-cost to low-cost locations, that unlocks productivity.  In addition, as people spread out, companies need to innovate to serve them.  That means innovating not only on digital platforms but also digitizing the U.S. enterprise.  That speaks to deflation.  It also unlocks innovation.  As people move away from medical centers, we are seeing telemedicine increase.  We need to provide better education and training remotely.  Last year, in recommending Intuit [INTU], I discussed the spread of remote tax and accounting services around the country.  What is happening in America is unique.  Most other countries are just countries.  We are basically a continent.

~ Henry Ellenbogan, CIO and managing partner, Durable Capital Partners, Barron's 2022 Roundtable, January 15, 2022



Jul 13, 2022

Rolf Dobelli on the dogma trap

In sum: think independently, don't be too faithful to the party line, and above all give dogmas a wide berth.  The quicker you understand that you don't understand the world, the better you'll understand the world. 

~ Rolf Dobelli, The Art of the Good Life, "The Dogma Trap," p. 149



Franz Oppenheimer on government

[T]he State, as a class-state, can have originated in no other way than through conquest and subjugation.

~ Franz Oppenheimer, The State



Doug Casey: "the entire country has been greatly over-financialized

The entire country has been greatly over-financialized.  It's all about credit and manipulating interest rates and propping up the bond market and floating government debt and so forth.  In a stable, capitalist, free market society, people produce and they consume and they save, but it's not a question of, "Hello, New York, buy.  Hello, Chicago, buy.  Hello, Los Angeles, sell."  Watching the screen all day...  People aren't producing as opposed to gambling.  And as inflation gets out of control, which it will, they're going to be forced to try to speculate to stay ahead of the destruction of their money.  And after a while it becomes no point in saving because your savings vanish before your very eyes.  And that destroys the actual structure of society.  This is much more serious than the talking heads mention on TV.

~ Doug Casey, interview with Dan Ferris, Stansberry Investor Hour, 35:15 mark, July 11, 2022





Confucius on simplicity

Life is really simple, but we insist on making it complicated.

~ Confucius



Jul 12, 2022

Ron Paul on abortion

Some people believe that being pro-choice is being on the side of freedom.  I’ve never understood how an act of violence, killing a human being, albeit a small one in a special place, is portrayed as a precious right.

~ Dr. Ron Paul, "Abortion," Liberty Defined (2012)





Jul 9, 2022

Charles Akre on avoiding distractions

We work in a town with one traffic light...  It makes the decision process so much simpler.  Einstein: "Make things as simple as possible."  We tell people, when they get to the light, turn.  Sooner or later you'll get to us."  What's really important is that in... Central Park South in New York or in downtown San Francisco or Los Angeles, we'd be surrounded by hundreds of people who were very bright and very interesting.  And the reason we're in a town with one traffic light away from that is that their stuff would be intellectually appealing to us and it would distract us from what it is we do well.

~ Charles Akre, "Characteristics of 100 Baggers Stock," 8:35 mark, June 15, 2022



Jul 7, 2022

Thomas Edison on persistence

Many of life's failures are people who did not realize how close they were to success when they gave up.

~ Thomas Edison



Murray Rothbard on productivity

On the free market, everyone earns according to his productive value in satisfying consumer desires.  Under statist distribution, everyone earns in proportion to the amount he can plunder from the producers.

~ Murray Rothbard





Murray Rothbard on government subsidies

Governmental subsidy systems promote inefficiency in production and efficiency in coercion and subservience, while penalizing efficiency in production and inefficiency in predation.

~ Murray Rothbard



Murray Rothbard on equality

Equality is not in the natural order of things, and the crusade to make everyone equal in every respect (except before the law) is certain to have disastrous consequences.

~ Murray Rothbard



John Wooden on giving

You can't live a perfect day without doing something for someone who will never be able to repay you.

~ John Wooden







Rob Weir on the most economically equal society in history

Q: What was the most economically equal society in history? 

A: Probably Cambodia under Pol Pot.  He was the only one who tackled the central inequality of all developing nations, that between the rural agricultural workers and the well-educated professionals in the city. 

His solution?  Empty the cities entirely, close the schools and universities, and force everyone into the country to work on the farms.  Only then would Cambodians finally be equal. 

Of course, many resisted this plan, or at least were suspected of resisting it.  Pol Pot had a solution for this as well.

~ Rob Weir, Quora answer, June 16, 2022



Jul 5, 2022

H.L. Mencken on democracy

Democracy is a pathetic belief in the collective wisdom of individual ignorance.

~ H.L. Mencken



Gavin Nascimento on democracy

Democracy is popular because of the illusion of choice and participation it provides, but when you live in a society in which most people’s knowledge of the world extends as far as sports, sitcoms, reality shows, and celebrity gossip, democracy becomes a very dangerous idea.  Until people are properly educated and informed, instead of indoctrinated to be ignorant mindless consumers, democracy is nothing more than a clever tool used by the ruling class to subjugate the rest of us.

~ Gavin Nascimento, life coach, activist, writer, public speaker and social media personality

(As cited by Marc Faber in The Gloom, Boom & Doom Report, July 1, 2022.)





Jul 4, 2022

Phil Erlanger on "dumb" short sellers (2021)

For the past five years, "dumb" short sellers (those with a poor track record of making money on their short trades) have been the majority of short sellers.  It is particularly true that the recent jump in short selling was established by dumb short sellers.

~ Phil Erlanger, Phil Erlanger Research, April 8, 2021
(as quoted in Barron's, April 10, 2021)



Fortune: two-thirds of economists see a recession

With inflation currently the highest it’s been since 1981 in the U.S., and the Federal Reserve enacting tighter monetary policy to try and bring them down, experts and business leaders alike have been sounding the alarm that a recession could be on the horizon.  Two-thirds of macroeconomists recently surveyed by the Financial Times and the Initiative on Global Markets said they’re anticipating a recession, while more than three-quarters of global executives surveyed by business insights company Conference Board said they are as well.




Jul 3, 2022

Tom DiLorenzo on Big Oil's ability to manipulate gasoline prices

The American oil industry started out in a laissez-faire environment in which there was little, if any, government regulation and no income taxation.  Entrepreneurs like John D. Rockefeller were able literally to create one of the most important industries in world history from nothing.  In doing so they transformed the world, made the machine age possible, improved the standard of living for millions, created hundreds of thousands of jobs, and invented management practices that would be emulated by other capitalists around the world.  Capitalism, or market entrepreneurship, is what created all of these economic benefits.  But from the early twentieth century on, the oil industry has been a regulated industry and has become less and less capitalistic.  Today the industry is heavily regulated - strangled, some would say - by governmnt.  And inevitably, government regulation - not the capitalistic nature of the industry - causes high prices, shortages, and other problems.

Still, the myth persists that the industry's capitalistic nature is precisely what creates problems.  Indeed, virtually every time there is a jump in gasoline prices the oil companies are accused of "price gouging," their profits are reported on the front pages of America's newspapers, and, more often than not, some congressional committee commences an investigation or holds hearings to look into the matter.  During the so-called energy crisis of the 1970s the accusastions against the oil companies were more strident, as the seven largest companies - "the seven sisters," as they were called - were accused of somehow orchestrating a shortage to boost their own profits.  But on the face of it, the notion that a price-fixing conspiracy can periodically increase gasoline prices makes no sense.  If oil companies are able to raise prices in such a manne, why don't they do it all the time?  Why only every several years?  Why do they throw all that money away by holding prices down?  And why are the incapable of stopping oil prices from falling?  (During the 2000 presidential election vice president Dick Cheney appeared on Meet the Press to say that oil and gas prices were too low and that some kind of government "price stabilization program" was needed.  At the time, he had just left his position as a top oil industry executive.)  The obvious answer to these questions is that the oil companies do not have the price-fixing powers that the mainstream media - and anticapitalistic intellectuals - ascribe to them.

~ Tom DiLorenzo, How Capitalism Saved America, pp. 206-207