Dec 28, 2025

Brigitte Bardot on feminism

Feminism isn’t my thing.  I like men.

~ Brigitte Bardot

(1934-2025) 

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/e/e6/Brigitte_Bardot_and_Sacha_Distel_in_Italy_1958.jpg 

Dec 25, 2025

Grant's on how life insurers are tied to the AI boom

Private equity and debt funds are big investors in data centers that power AI chatbots.  A bust in the AI boom would surely add to pressures mounting from the slow-moving p.e. default wave.  And as the knee bone is connected to the thigh bone, so life insurers are fused to private funds (both as investors in them and as financiers of them).  Annuitants and policy holders may soon be reminded of these facts of life and high finance.

[...]

As it is, U.S. life insurers have committed roughly one-third of their assets to private credit.  And owing to widespread private equity ownership, life insurers are themselves highly leveraged, with 22 out of the top 80 carriers by asset size reporting liability-to-surplus ratios of over 30 times as of year-end 2024.

[...]

Another thing: American life insurance held $1.3 trillion in notional exposure to interest rate derivatives at year-end 2024.  "As fixed-rate receivers," the BIS reminds its readers, "insurers typically face margin calls in periods of rising rates."

And another: Many annuitants have the right to redeem early, with surrender penalties of 10% or less.  Annuity holders are most likely to accept that penalty when they can get higher rates of return elsewhere, that is, when rates are rising.

~ "Tomorrow's news today," Grant's Interest Rate Observer, December 5, 2025

for Insurers Managing $13 Trillion ... 

Nov 14, 2025

Rolf Dobelli on the illusion of skill

In certain areas, skill plays no role whatsoever.  In his book Thinking, Fast and Slow, [Daniel] Kahneman describes his visit to an asset management company.  To brief him, they sent him a spreadsheet showing the performance of each investment adviser over the past eight years.  From this, a ranking was assigned to each: number 1, 2, 3, and so on in descending order.  This was compiled every year.  Kahneman quickly calculated the relationship between the years' rankings.  Specifically, he calculated the correlation of the rankings between year 1 and year 2, between year 1 and year 3, year 1 and year 5, up until year 7 and year 8.  The result: pure coincidence.  Sometimes the adviser was at the very top and sometimes the very bottom.  If an adviser had a great year, this was neither bolstered by previous years nor carried into subsequent years.  The correlation was zero.  And yet the consultants pocketed bonuses for their performance.  In other words, the company was rewarding luck rather than skill.

 ~ Rolf Dobelli, The Art of Thinking Clearly, p. 283

 

Nov 13, 2025

Shaun Rein on how the U.S. has been a magnet for talent

One of the great things about America is that we have been a place that the top talent in the world, from China, from the Soviet Union, from Vietnam, they all want to come to our country.  Because America is a great country.  It's an exceptional country.  And so we should be making it easier for top talent, people who bring money, bring in intellectual knowledge into the United States.  That's what makes America great and that's what we should be encouraging.

 ~ Shaun Rein, Twitter/X post, November 12, 2025

 

Michael Weeks on when to sell

When should I sell? 

Ask an economist, an investor, and a business owner this question and you will get three different answers: a theory, a formula, and a decision.

The theory is universal and true, but not practical.

The formula is universal and practical, but not true.

The decision is true and practical, but not universal.

My answer is simple: You sell when it makes sense. 

Not a theory.  Not a formula.  Always a judgment call, based entirely on experience and circumstance.

~ Michael Weeks, Edelweiss Holdings, Twitter/X post, October 15, 2025

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Nov 10, 2025

Kevin Duffy on narratives that drive the state

The state thrives on 2 false narratives:

1. It must protect group A from being exploited by group B.

2. It must solve some crisis (or future crisis) that the free market is incapable of solving due to apathy, greed, lack of resources or lack of vision.

~ Kevin Duffy, Twitter/X post, November 10, 2025 

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Oct 26, 2025

Per Bylund on economic literacy

Economic literacy is mind-opening because it allows us to truly understand how the world works. 

~ Per L. Bylund

How to Think about the Economy: A ...