Jan 16, 2010

Abby Cohen sees S&P 500 at 1250-1300

Barron's: Abby, do you have a price target for the S&P 500 this year?

: We see a range of 1250 to 1300, and the market might not be at the high end at the end of the year if economic growth starts to slow in the second half. We might not see multiple expansion. Instead, stocks will move higher on the basis of profit and revenue improvement. We're forecasting S&P 500 earnings of $75 to $76 this year, and $90 next year. But it is too soon to be paying for 2011 earnings. Importantly, revenue will increase this year, by about 10% to 12%. Another thing that will distinguish 2010 is a decline in volatility.

~ Abby Cohen, "New Strategies for a New Era," Barron's, January 18, 2010

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