Existing home sales are undergoing a historic sharp contraction in sales. And, what will keep the residential market sluggish is what [Ivy] Zelman calls the “Stuck Factor.” An incredible 92% of homeowners with mortgages have a 5% rate or lower. Nearly half of those with a mortgage have a rate of 3.5% or lower. As long as rates stay where they are, or higher, people aren’t moving anywhere except in the case of the three D’s-divorce, death, or default.
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